The Impact of Human Capital on Economic Growth: An Analysis from Pakistan
Keywords:
Human capital, Economic Growth, Trade openness & PakistanAbstract
This study looks at how human capital affects economic growth in Pakistan from 1990 to 2024. Human capital is measured by education (secondary school enrollment). We have used economic growth as the dependent variable. However, trade openness and labor force participation are used as explanatory variables. We obtained annual time-series data from the World Development Indicators (WDI) and the Pakistan Economic Survey for this analysis. The econometric model was estimated using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) within the Solow growth framework that includes human capital. To ensure validity, we have applied diagnostic tests. The findings indicate that human capital significantly boosts Pakistan's economic growth. Education spending has a strong positive effect on GDP. Trade openness negatively affects economic growth. While labor force participation positively affects economic growth. The study concludes by emphasizing that nurturing human capital is crucial to fostering long-term growth in Pakistan. The policy suggestions aim to enhance the quality of education, improve access to healthcare, and encourage greater labor-market participation, particularly among women and young people. By implementing effective strategies in these areas, Pakistan can transform its demographic advantages into sustainable economic growth, alleviate poverty, and boost its competitiveness on the global stage
References
Abbas, Q. (2000). The role of human capital in economic growth: A comparative study of Pakistan and India. Pakistan Development Review, 39(4), 451–473.
Abbas, Q. (2001). Endogenous growth and human capital: A comparative study of Pakistan and Sri Lanka. Pakistan Development Review, 40(4), 987–1007.
Abbas, Q., & Foreman‐Peck, J. (2008). Human capital and economic growth: Pakistan 1960–2003. Pakistan Development Review, 47(1), 1–20.
Acemoglu, D., & Robinson, J. A. (2012). Why nations fail: The origins of power, prosperity, and poverty. Crown Publishing.
Afridi, F. K. (2016). Human capital and economic growth in Pakistan: A time series analysis. Forman Journal of Economic Studies, 12(1), 89–106.
Afzal, M., Rehman, H., Farooq, M. S., & Sarwar, K. (2010). Education and economic growth in Pakistan: A cointegration and causality analysis. International Journal of Educational Research, 50(5–6), 321–335. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijer.2011.08.001
Asteriou, D., & Agiomirgianakis, G. M. (2001). Human capital and economic growth: Time series evidence from Greece. Journal of Policy Modeling, 23(5), 481–489. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0161-8938(01)00054-0
Aurangzeb. (2003). Human capital and economic growth in Pakistan: A cointegration approach. Pakistan Development Review, 42(4), 387–397.
Becker, G. S. (1964). Human capita. National Bureau of Economic Research.
Benhabib, J., & Spiegel, M. M. (1994). The role of human capital in economic development evidence from aggregate cross-country data. Journal of Monetary economics, 34(2), 143–173. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(94)90047-7
Badulescu, D., Akhtar, M. N., Ahmad, M., & Soharwardi, M. A. (2021). Accounting policies, institutional factors, and firm performance: Qualitative insights in a developing country. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 14(10), Article e473. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm14100473
Bykova, V., Khasanova, M., & Polonkoeva, F. (2024). The role of human capital in economic development: an Analysis of Factors Contributing To Economic Growth. Reliability: Theory & Applications, 19(81), 1676–1682.
Chowdhury, F. Y., & Dey, S. (2022). Causal link between Export, Import, Remittance and Economic Growth in Bangladesh. Asian Journal of Economics and Finance, 4(3), 331–345. https://doi.org/10.46791/ajef.2022.v04i01.06
Cohen, D., & Soto, M. (2007). Growth and human capital: good data, good results. Journal of Economic Growth, 12(1), 51–76. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10887-007-9011-5
Ehichoya, M., & Isokpan, R. E. (2025). Service Sector Output and Economic Growth In Nigeria: An Autoregressive Distributive Lag and ECM Approach. Journal of Entrepreneurship & Business, 6(2), 143–157. https://doi.org/10.24123/jeb.v6i2.7545
Han, J., Lee, J. W., & Park, D. (2020). Demographic change, human capital, and economic growth in Korea. Japan and the World Economy, 53, Article e100984. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.japwor.2019.100984
Hanushek, E. A., & Woessmann, L. (2012). Do better schools lead to more growth? Cognitive skills, economic outcomes, and causation. Journal of Economic Growth, 17(4), 267–321. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10887-012-9081-x
Hafeez, M. H., & Rahim, A. (2019). Human capital and economic growth: Evidence from Pakistan. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 10(1), 45–56.
International Labour Organization. (2020). World employment and social outlook: Trends 2020. https://www.ilo.org/global/research/global-reports/weso/2020/lang--en/index.htm
Javed, S. A. (2011). Human capital and economic growth: A time series evidence from Pakistan. Pakistan Development Review, 50(4), 531–547.
Jones, G., & Schneider, W. J. (2006). Intelligence, human capital, and economic growth: A Bayesian averaging of classical estimates (BACE) approach. Journal of Economic Growth, 11(1), 71–93. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10887-006-7406-2
Khan, M. A. (2005). Human capital and economic growth: Cross‐country evidence from developing countries. Pakistan Economic and Social Review, 43(2), 199–213.
Khattak, N. U., & Khan, J. (2012). Human capital and economic growth: Time series evidence from Pakistan. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 2(7), 813–822.
Lee, J. W., Lee, H., & Lee, J. D. (2016). Human capital and development: Lessons from history. Journal of Development Economics, 122, 149–163. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2016.05.010
Li, J., Wu, N., & Xiong, S. (2021). Sustainable innovation in the context of organizational cultural diversity: The role of cultural intelligence and knowledge sharing. Plos One, 16(5), Article e0250878. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0250878
Lucas, R. E. (1988). On the mechanics of economic development. Journal of Monetary Economics, 22(1), 3–42. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(88)90168-7
Mankiw, N. G., Romer, D., & Weil, D. N. (1992). A contribution to the empirics of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107(2), 407–437. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118477
Muhammad, A., Egbetokun, A., & Memon, M. H. (2015). Human capital and economic growth: the role of governance. The Pakistan Development Review, 54(4), 529–548.
Mustafa, U., & Rizvi, S. T. H. (2019). Human capital and economic growth in Pakistan: An ARDL approach. Pakistan Journal of Social Sciences, 39(1), 105–118.
Nadhirah, A. N., Kurniawati, T., & Nor, Z. B. M. (2023). Analysis of the Influence of Investment in Education and Health on Economic Growth in Malaysia. International Journal of Multidisciplinary Research of Higher Education, 6(2), 65–77.
Pelinescu, E. (2015). The impact of human capital on economic growth. Procedia Economics and finance, 22, 184–190.
Pakistan Economic Survey. (2023). Economic survey of Pakistan 2022–23. Ministry of Finance, Government of Pakistan.
Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.616
Psacharopoulos, G., & Patrinos, H. A. (2018). Returns to investment in education: A decennial review of the global literature. Education Economics, 26(5), 445–458. https://doi.org/10.1080/09645292.2018.1484426
Qadri, F. S., & Waheed, A. (2011). Human capital and economic growth: Time series evidence from Pakistan. Pakistan Business Review, 13(1), 1–17.
Qazi, M. A., Raza, S. A., & Jawaid, S. T. (2013). Higher education and economic growth in Pakistan: An ARDL approach. Economic Modelling, 31, 502–508. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2012.12.019
Romer, P. M. (1990). Endogenous technological change. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), S71–S102. https://doi.org/10.1086/261725
Schultz, T. W. (1961). Investment in human capital. American Economic Review, 51(1), 1–17.
Solow, R. M. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), 65–94. https://doi.org/10.2307/1884513
Tiémélé, J. B., Djakaridja, K., & Iritie, B. G. J. J. (2024). Effects of FDI on the Growth of Agricultural Sector in Côte d'Ivoire: An Empirical Analysis Based on Toda-Yamamoto Causality Tests and ARDL Cointegration. Journal of Sustainable Development, 17(6), 1–76
Teixeira, A. A. C., & Queirós, A. S. S. (2016). Economic growth, human capital, and structural change: A dynamic panel data analysis. Research Policy, 45(8), 1636–1648. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2016.04.006
United Nations Development Programme. (2018). Pakistan national human development report: Unleashing the potential of a young Pakistan. UNDP Pakistan.
Wang, H. (2023). Relationship between higher education level and GDP per capita of different American States. Financial Engineering and Risk Management, 6(11), 60–69.
World Bank. (2021). Pakistan development update: Reviving exports. World Bank.
Downloads
Published
Versions
- 2025-11-27 (2)
- 2025-12-01 (1)
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Telsy Fratama Dewi Samad, Muhammad Musa

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY) 4.0 License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work’s authorship and initial publication in this journal.
